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contains multiple nuggets of information with respect to SARS-CoV-19 that I feel you are all either ignoring, or
are unaware of. All of the data presented in the video is available from governmental organizations, and is not
"junk science", is not "fake science" and bears thought and introspection on your part. In particular, please pay
attention to the laws of unintended consequences that are associated with reduced immunity caused by
excessive mask usage, and the notion that you are perhaps causing an unanticipated excess mortality fom
various Causes as we move into the fall 'flu season.

And with that, here is the link to the video: https:/Avwww.youtube.com/watch?v=8UvFhIF zaac . I strongly urge
you to watch it. Regardless of whether or not it changes your opinion, it is valuable information, and it
behooves you all to pay attention to this kind of information. In closing, please review this information, and J
most respectfully and strongly urge you all to reconsider your stance on mask ordinances.

Sincerely,
Andy Cooper
24 Forsythia Dr, Nashua, NH 03062

Graham, Donna

rea Tae otae ERATE
From: Andy Cooper <andrewjohn.cooper@gmail.com>
Sent: Sunday, September 13, 2020 7:44 PM
To: Lu, Elizabeth; Board of Aldermen; Lopez, Thomas
Subject: Re: Nashua Mask Ordinance
Attachments: covid-nashua-response.pdf

CAUTION: This email came from outside of the organization. Do not click links/open attachments if source is
unknown.

Elizabeth and Tom
Firstly, thank you for actually responding. I'll address each of you in turn.

While there may be over 2,000 reports, there are far fewer peer-reviewed scientific articles, which is what I was
referring to. And yes, I have read pretty much every single report relating to masks. Honestly, that does not take
a significant amount of time when you consider that (a) this situation has been going on for some six months,
and (b) there are perhaps 2 newly-reviewed articles released per day at a maximum, and those articles are
typically of a 7-10 page length. So yes, I read them.

Elizabeth, even though your background is not medical or science, if you are legislating in that area you have a
responsibility to those who elected you to do due diligence. Your statement amounts to a cop-out. When I make
decisions on things for my job, I ensure that I have read all relevant articles and done due diligence. I expect
nothing less from others, especially from elected officials who are, after all, ultimately responsible to the
electorate and who have chosen to perform this task. As such, you do not get to make excuses about failure to
perform your job. I stand by my criticism of your statement and your performance.

It seems appropriate at this time to explain my credentials, since those were questioned by Tom Lopez in his
response. | have degrees in Statistics, Computer Science and Actuarial Science. I have worked as an actuary, as
a statistician, and as a computer scientist. I have spent some 30 years practicing my craft, and have over a
decade of experience in big data analysis, artificial intelligence and related fields. This provides me with the
background to perform statistical analyses on scientific data, and I am therefore able to perform this analysis on
the wealth of data that has been collected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Given that, | am as expert in this
regard as your board of health with respect to statistical analysis. Note that I am not suggesting an equivalence
between medical science and statistical science, but what we are talking about is more pertinent to the former
than the latter. Since Alderman Tom Lopez made a presumption regarding medicine, it seems appropriate to
point out the logical fallacy in his thinking. My qualifications are perhaps more humble than Dr. Capetta's with
respect to medicine, but most certainly not when it comes to statistics.

You asked for a synopsis of the link I sent you. Iam gladly providing it to you and to the entire board in the
expectation that since you actually asked for it, you will read it. It is, however, some fifteen pages and 4,000
words in length. I wrote that this afternoon, obviously after receiving your response. In the words of Albert
Einstein, forgive me for the length - if I had more time I would have made it shorter.

Tom, unfortunately while I find your sense of snark and humor most excellent if not misguided, it appears that
you have missed the point. I do not particularly care one way or another whether you attempted to intimidate
Ben Clemons or not (and again I’m most definitely giving you the benefit of the doubt in this regard), I care far
more that you have uttered those words in a foram where members of the public - potentially including

1

members of the press - were present. What are they to assume when you suggest that? Regarding personal
privilege, if you are referring to section 127.3, yes, although that does not pertain to this situation. I am similarly
aware of sections 220-226. However, since ] am not an expert in legislation - and this is also not the topic of this
discourse - I will simply point out that Ben Clemons could simply have exercised section 226.3. Again,
however, the point that you missed was simply one of the audience.

As to the rest, I will let my synopsis speak for itself, and instead will leave you with the following: As elected
officials, it behooves you to analyze data, to not react with panic and lack of understanding of the facts behind
something. Your mask ordinance is one such example. Your reaction to spend city funds to create a never-used
field hospital is another example. The inane signs that you have spent thousands on and posted throughout the
city is yet another example. Do you for one minute think — to use a phrase quoted by a judge recently ~ that the
citizenry have been living under a rock and are not aware of COVID-19?

Please take all the above under advisement as you consider your next moves with respect to COVID-19. Start
thinking about how you extricate yourselves from a situation that has spiraled out of control and for which you
currently have no end game in sight.

Sincerely

Andy Cooper

24 Forsythia Drive
Nashua, NH 03062

PS: Tom, please note the inclusion of the address.

On Sun, Sep 13, 2020 at 1:50 PM Lu, Elizabeth <LuE@nashuanh.gov> wrote:
Mr. Andy Cooper:

The last time I looked, there were over 2,000 different scientific reports on studies of Covid] 9 or related
immunological issues, If you or anyone else claims to have read them all you are either mistaken or you may
be a superhuman speed reader. Even if I could read each report, my background is not medical or science,
therefore I leave it to the Health specialists in our community for guidance. I seriously doubt that anyone can
be on top of every complex issue that this novel coronavirus raises. I don't click on random videos I am

sent. Feel free to write a synopsis of the assertions it presents, and the supporting points if you would.

Elizabeth Lu

Alderwoman - Ward Six

LuE@nashuanh.gov<mailto:_LuE@nashuanh.gov&gt;

Tom Lopez wrote:

Thank you for your observations. Personally, I don't think Alderman Clemons was particularly intimidated, as
I have never known him to be so. | think he would likely have raised some objection to me personally, or, if
history is ANY indicator, more likely on the spot, if that were the case. I think based on your commitment to
validating every article regarding the pandemic, you have no doubt reviewed Masons Manual For Legislative
Procedure, in order to fully discern the meeting you attended, and so are no doubt familiar with the concept of
personal priviliege. Alderman Clemons has a fairly significant history as a legislator, and I am of the opinion
he is familiar with this as well. I am confident he can navigate a meeting very effectively with his knowledge
of such procedures and experience in doing so.

For my part, despite the evident weightiness you place upon your opinions, and the sincere gratitude I have for
your estimation of quality,

I am afraid [ can't agree that I have raised any particularly high expectations regarding my sense of humor.
Perhaps some day, my time will come as a rising star on the comedic circuit, but my sense is that I am still
some ways away from such a career change, this, my humor may lack spice, but instead carries the soothing
consistency of peanut butter. I suspect that if Alderman Clemons were so offended, I am fairly certain he
would let that be known as well.

Now as a member of the public, I hope it is clear that you are always welcome to share your impressions, and
I am sure they will be given the fll weight of consideration that they merit. As aldermen we try to be
responsive to individuals indentified as our constituents. If you don't identify your address however, they aren't
added as an official communication, so if that was your intent, you may want to observe that piece of house
keeping. J would also include the full breadth and scope of the medical credentials, you have no doubt acquired
through your careful study, which could only further validate your assertions.

Personally, I think Alderman Lu's opinion was well stated, and I invite you to further research the board of
health that she referred to, as well as the humble credentials of it's members to better understand the context of
her suggestion, as she was describing their exact role and purpose per state statutes. I think it speaks highly of
her character that in the midst of a highly controversial and politically charged climate, she is willing to
acknowledge a desire for a qualified objective opinion, whatever it may be, in order to best represent the needs
of her constituents as an elected official.

Of course again, that is my opinion as one of her fellow Alderman, you are certainly welcome to a different
interpretation of how elected officials should evaluate their positions.

Note that all diagrams in this document refer to their sources. All sources are publicly verifiable
and, in the majority, come from government sources.

The GOMPERTZ Curve

We'll start with a little study of the curves for deaths per million for several European countries.
The following chart — source is the European CDC — shows how all of those countries’ COVID-
19 mortality curves follow a classic GOMPERTZ curve, exactly as per normal influenza deaths.

As can be seen, the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic ended around May through to
early June. This is entirely in line with influenza epidemics in the past according to Professor
Michael Levitt of Stanford, who has done considerable work on biostatistical analysis with
respect to flu epidemic modeling. This curve is caused by several factors, including the fact that
as the SARS-CoV-2 virus arrived in each country, those who were more susceptible become
infected first, mortality is front-loaded by virtue of their susceptibility, and following that you get
a Classically modeled decline after those who are most susceptible die.

Dally confirmed COV ID- 19 de alhs per million, rolling 7-day average
im) i te gat mearn thet he shunner of cordismed
5 fra. OC ihe 4

44 Raly
, GOMPERTZ Curve throughout
- As per influenza Epidemics

EUROPE

ey

Sweden

ApriG 45°30 May3G Jun? Jun 2¢ Jld@ Aug

Next, we see the following curve — also a classic GOMPERTZ curve — but this time it’s for the
Spanish flu epidemic of 1918-19. As you can see, without any kind of a lockdown, without any
kind of face masks, without any kind of mass governmental intrusion into the lives of the

population, the curve is identical to that for COVID-19.

Figure 1
300
tones Onset
Death
200
wv Classic GOMPERTZ Curve
ig for influenza epidemics
oO
100
oO
a nm o ra} = = o Oo o c c
6 ® © @ # 2 & § § 8 8
ch rel ~ N + o cu oS 3} o S
~ _- — 6

Epidemic curve of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany. from 1918~19. Reported daily

“Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany, from 1LOL8—10" -
Theoretical Biolagy and fdedical Modelling volume 4, Articie number: 20 (2007)

At last Tuesday’s meeting, Tom Lopez asserted that because we were seeing fewer infections
and “cases”, the mask ordinance must be working. This is a classic statistical blunder that people
make — correlation does not equal causation (this is known as the Post Hoc fallacy — past hoc,
ergo propter hoc). As is abundantly clear from the above, it is easy to illustrate that mask
wearing, and mask ordinances were not responsible for the absolutely expected decline in

COVID-19 cases and deaths.

Modeling Excess Deaths

It is important to model excess deaths, because the measure of cases or infections depends on
how much testing has been done, and the quality of the test. Typically tests for infections are
“noisy” — in other words, there are a large number of false positives. As a result, death is the best
measurement to use. This is relevant with respect to the impact of mask wearing. The chart
below ~ representing all-cause deaths from EuroMomo countries (so around 360 million citizens,
comparable in size to the USA) — shows two critical notions. First, note that you can see a low
trough of deaths in both the 45-64 and 65+ age groups preceding the onset of COVID-19. What
this means is that there is effectively a “backlog” of deaths waiting to occur — people who would,
in normal years, have passed away. Therefore, the second thing that this chart illustrates is that
when COVID-19 arrived, all of those deaths were essentially front-loading the system, While
this sounds callous, it is a simple reality that no amount of hand-wringing will change.

BSP Bridge Lights

The City solicited an RFP for a design/build of a dynamic LED Lighting installation on the
River Bridge in in the summer of 2015 and received no responses. To move the project
forward the City worked with Fay Spofford & Thorndike, Inc (bridge engineer of record)
and Philips, to refine a design and installation plan that minimizes the complexity of the
installation, while ensuring the product will achieve the desired functionality and
durability. The majority of the project's costs are attributable to the complex nature of
the installation, which requires specialty articulating lift trucks to allow the electricians
and workers access to the underside of the bridge to run the conduit and wires for the
project, as well as install the lights. With the refined plans the City has solicited quotes
from several vendors. A second quoie from an experienced vendor is expected to be
received before the end of January. We are hopeful that the generous gift of Mr.
Richard Stahl! of $150,000 (R-1 5-197) will be able to cover all the associated costs, should
it fall short, | would hope the city would complete the project with city funds.

Ticketing Ordinance

Code Enforcement in partnership with Legal, Treasury, Environmental Health, Building
Safety, Planning and Zoning, and the Fire Marshall's Office have been developing a
proposed Ticketing Ordinance tool to assist these Departments in expediting
compliance of violated NROs. The ordinance nearing the final drafting stage and staff
are working to iron out procedural details such as monitoring and collecting ticket fines
once the ordinance Is in place. A proposed ticketing ordinance should be presented
for BOA review in the Spring of 2016.

Amherst Street - Charron Ave Intersectlon Improvements

The City sent this project out to bid for a second time at the end of 2015 with the hope
of lowering overall construction costs. Two bids were received with the apparent low
bidder being Continental Paving at $1,397,360. Adding to the low bid the Mast Arms,
Bid and Award Services, and Construction Phase Services the project totals
$1,515,678. At this time the City has pledged $550,000 and private donations total
$445,000, leaving the project underfunded by $520,678. To move this project forward
potential funding sources include:

Amherst St Corridor Fund $131,619
Paving Program — Amherst St. $ 75,000

Utilizing both of the potential funding sources the project is $314,059 short. The source of
the remaining required funds will need to be determined quickly to move this project
forward this spring as intended.

Mohawk Tannery

City staff is collaborating with the New Hampshire Department of Environmental
Services (NHDES), the US EPA and a local developer to develop a long-term plan for the

While 180,000 excess deaths seems like a lot, it’s really only 0.05% of the population, and the
difference between 2018 and 2020 excess deaths is 40,000 or 0.01% of the population. In other
words, there is very little real difference between the excess deaths of the 2018 winter season vs
the 2020 winter season. What has occurred ts that those who would previously have died from
influenza have instead died from COVID-19. The same holds true in the USA.

EUROPE ALL-CAUSE DEATHS

(EuroMomo Countries) 2018 Winter Season 2020 Winter Season
~360 Million Population Excess Deaths Excess Deaths
TOTAL = “140,000 TOTAL 7th Sept ™120,000
45-64 years 2018 Excess Deaths / 2020 Excess Deaths
(integrated from curve} {integrated from curve}
15-64 y.o’s 15-64 y.0.'s

~20,000

i

Mt.

ST YT a

ATE yihy bOSY DEAT RAT. POLCE IAG COWL

65+ years 2020 Excess Deaths

2018 Excess Deaths fintegrated fram curve)
(integrated from curve} 65+ yo. |
85+ ¥.0,3 ~167,000 “*
~120,000

NOE VERY LOM BLAH RATE PEESESING COVO

This is another view that explains the expected decline in the number of deaths and cases from
COVID-19. Again, a reason that is quite independent from the notions of social distancing and
mask wearing by the general public.

A Note Regarding Incorrect Statistical Models

Much has been made about how models have been used to predict a catastrophic surge in deaths
from COVID-19. In particular, many have used the Imperial College model to justify why they
needed to lock down cities, states or countries. Let’s compare the models to the reality. We can
focus on Sweden here, because once again they provide a great closed loop system pertaining to
how a country that did not follow the herd and did not lock down completely debunks these
models.

The chart below shows the Imperial College predictions for Sweden under two scenarios — the
first scenario (the orange line in the chart) shows the number of predicted deaths if Sweden did
nothing, the gray line shows the number of predicted deaths if Sweden implemented “moderate”
no-lockdown measures (which is actually similar to what Sweden did, in fact, do), while the blue
line is the actual observed COVID-19 positive deaths. As should be clear to anybody, the reality
does not come even close to the predictions. It is worth mentioning that Sweden had no

lockdown, had no mask mandate, did not close restaurants, did not close hair salons, did not
impose absurd conditions on hairdressers for wearing laboratory-level protective clothing, and
did not come within an order of magnitude of the number of predicted deaths. And yet we
continue to use these inherently flawed and grossly inaccurate models, and continue to perpetrate
draconian measures regarding personal space, PPE requirements, and mask ordinances when it is
quite clear that these measures are not, in fact, effective.

he

Coronavirus Deaths in Sweden -
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The imperial College predictions {& E Ped VS. Seopdith Puble health Agency
Sweden's actual, observed tblue) corona-positive deaths

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mere heapitels The 0 and s\2. enperin! College Prediction curses refer to dict, vi covind deaths ONY. at predicted by |

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httos://swprs.ore/covid19-lethality-how-not-to-do-it/

A Historical Perspective On The Actual Severity Of COVID-19

Taking a look at the monthly death rates — deaths per million adjusted for population size - for
Sweden from 1851, there are three things that stand out. The first obvious trend is the slow, but
steady decline in overall population death rate as the years go by. Next, in 1918 there is clearly a
huge event. This is the Spanish Flu —a once in a century event. When we look on the extreme

right of the chart, however, we see the COVID-19 spike. It is singularly notable for the fact that
it barely registers above the noise level.

SWEDEN
Monthly deaths per million (165 /01-2020/05}

Spanish Flu Spike

deaths per million

| Corona Spike
' Mi

ijl hotell

Suuree: hip vvevywastalistikdstabasenscb se

Influence of Prior “Soft” Influenza season

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