Please take all the above under advisement as you consider your next moves with respect to
COVID-19. Start thinking about how you extricate yourselves from a situation that has spiraled
out of control and for which you currently have no end game in sight.
Rather, what people have done has largely followed along the lines of a deferral —I°]] not go to
the doctor because (a) I’m too scared to go because of what they say about COVID-19, or (b)I
refuse to be a party to this insanity and will therefore defer my scheduled appointment until the
world has returned to normal.
The exact same scenario is now playing itself out across the world. The above chart references
the juxtaposition of COVID-19 deaths against COVID-19 positive test cases in Spain. As is
clearly obvious, the number of positive cases over the 9-week period ending August 28 does not
show a corresponding increase in the number of deaths attributed to COVID-19. We can see the
same scenario play out in Ireland and the UK as shown in the chart below.
i “Cases”
Meteo D ceteris Goby forces
Deaths
i pisuenie Over
tn Bey hea
ne} fe ga
Furthermore, the ongoing media frenzy with respect to COVID-19 has focused on the “positive
test result” metric, and not the historically accurate “Cases” metric, instead referring to the
former as the latter, further muddying and confusing things. A positive test is absolutely not a
medical case. All that doing this does is further the irrational panic gripping the nation and, in
fact, the world.
Interestingly, we have seen this before. The following chart shows the progression of the HIN1
New Deaths from COVID-19 per Day by US States/Territories, normalized by population
g
he
few Daily COVID-I9 Deathafim pecpie
“ Deaths per Million on Deaths per Million
“ USA NORTH-EAST * USA SOUTH
By (note: similar to USA West) ee {nate similar 1o USA West}
:
New Dally COVIO-13 Oraths/im poopie
When you examine the case of Italy, we see that it has a sharp increase in March, and then an
equally precipitous drop in April and May, very much in line with the seasonal variation in
frequency chart shown previously. However, something “interesting” seems to be happening
with Brazil and Peru. As an aside, note that Brazil did not implement a lockdown, while Peru did
~and as you can see, Brazil had a lower death count than Peru did.
Seasonality
https://emedicine. medscape.com/article/227820-overview
Demonstrating The Lack Of Efficacy Of Mask Ordinances
Starting with our own CDC references, Xiao J, Shiu E, Gao H, et al. Nonpharmaceutical
Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare Settings—Personal Protective and
Environmental Measures. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2020;26(5):967-975.
doi:10.3201/eid2605.190994, we can see the following:
between Sweden and other Nordic countries, but | will leave that as a research exercise for
readers.
On The Topic of Restaurants And Bars
hs. rolling 7-day average
ideath means tt
the from 2h
ig nuriber GF comhirmed
; cart Heneghan
og Just asking: there are 47,600 pubs in the UK {let's say
1000 week through the door} that's nearly 300M people
in 6 weeks - How many outbreaks in that time and
AO :
oO what's the risk?
wa
Maris. 20202 AnriO Aorao May? fun’ Jun
This is about the time in this document where you’re probably wondering “gee, Sweden had a
lot of deaths. This document keeps using Sweden as an example, but the media has criticized
them”. Well, let’s take a closer look at things.
