Based upon the most recent enrollment projection data®, over the next seven
years enrollments are expected to continue declining in a range from 893 — 1,136
students system wide based on three projection estimates that have been
developed. It should be noted that when Tara Heights phase | was proposed in
2010, total school enrollment was 12,385.
Estimated School Age Children
To determine the potential enrollment impact to the school system, the number of
children that may live in a development must be calculated; school age children
ratio (SAC). As previously noted, the complex will have 294 units with 57
studios, 114 one bedroom and 123 two bedroom units. Typically studios and
one-bedroom units do not generate school age children.
The existing Tara Heights apartment complex contains 564 units, 318 of which
are two bedrooms. One bedroom units do not generate school age children
(SAC). Based on information from the Nashua School District in June/2020,
there were 34 SAC residing’ within the existing apartment complex (47 SAC in
2018). To be conservative, we will use the 2018 enrollment data in this analysis.
Using this data a per unit SAC ratio of .148 (47/318) is derived for the two
bedroom units. The proposed development program will include 266 garden
style units with only 95 of them being two bedroom units. In addition, there will
be 28 two bedroom townhome rental units. Based on the Table Ten outlined
below, it is estimated that 24 SAC may reside within the proposed apartment
development.
* School District enrollment projections.
7 2019/2020 enrollment figure.
* The Fiscal Report completed in 2010 estimated a per unit SAC of .14
