Master Plan Nashua Fire Rescue, NH
SERVICE DEMAND PROJECTIONS
The demand for services is central to the existence of a fire department. Often as the population rises or falls,
so does the demand for services. As discussed in the previous section, the population of Nashua has remained
relatively constant since 2010. Because of this, it can be anticipated that the demand for service should be
consistent year to year as well. As this level of increase is generally in line with the local estimates for
population change, a per capita rate using the high and low rates of incidents per year divided by population
for 2016 through 2019 was applied to forecast populations and projected out to the year 2040. The results
are shown in the following figure.
Figure 95. Nashua Per Capita Service Demand Projections, 2020-2040
15,000 14,714
14,500 14,206
14,000 13,715
13,549
13,500
13,081
13,000
12,500 12,343
12,000
11,500 =
11,000 ——$— + —— — ————
ao 68 % bh > nb A A Cy DS A
SPD MPM PMD GPM oS Pgh os DP 5
Fr eG eM eG” Pe > Peg fF ep Poe es -
=——7.79 per Capita = Avg/7.1perCapita = 6.54 per Capita
Based on this rate of increase, Nashua Fire Rescue could anticipate that annual service demand would remain
fairly constant through 2040. As with any forecast, local and external factors can dramatically impact
changes to both population and service demand. Changes in demographics, the median age of a population,
and other factors also influence the demand for services. New construction along the river front may also
impact the rate of change as homes and businesses are established in previously underdeveloped areas.
Emergency Services
ESC) Consulting International 136
